Statewide conditions

As the state's lead agency for water supplies, we pay close attention to multiple data sources and monitor them closely. Rain and other precipitation, groundwater (water held in aquifers), rivers and streams, and mountain snow (snowpack) are all important contributors to water supply that we monitor. 

Tacoma Old Town Dock. Photo by Wayne Hsieh, https://flic.kr/p/2pBqtCX

What is water supply?


What is WSAC? 

A graphic of Earth with a thermometer beside it

The Water Supply Availability Committee (WSAC) is a group of experts from state and federal agencies who evaluate statewide water supply conditions. Ecology chairs this group that provides an important consultative role to Ecology. WSAC advises Ecology on current and forecasted water supply conditions and whether the hydrologic drought threshold has been met or is likely to be met: seventy-five percent of normal water supply within a geographic area (RCW 43.83B.405 and WAC 173-166-050).

If you would like to receive water supply updates after each monthly WSAC meeting, subscribe to the Washington Water Supply Email list. Presentation materials and recording are posted on the Water Supply Availability Committee website.

 

Data round-up: drought conditions summary

Below is a snapshot of the wide variety of data sources that helps Ecology understand evolving drought conditions. We will update this regularly while a drought declaration remains active. 

The Washington State Climate Office - Climate Outlook 

  • Early July Update - El Niño conditions have officially emerged in the tropical Pacific. This El Niño event is expected to strengthen this summer and into fall, primarily impacting our weather this upcoming winter. There is now anearly a 90% chance of at least a strong El Nino developing during the October through January period, and virtually no chance of La Niña or neutral conditions.
  • Last updated: July 7, 2026; Next update (monthly): Early August. 

Bureau of Reclamation (BOR)

  • Yakima River system (Keechelus, Kachess, Cle Elum, Bumping, Rimrock) storage is above average for this day of the year, compared to normal, at 81.6% of average. The reservoirs combined are at 61% of full capacity.
  • The July 3 total water supply available (TWSA) for the proratable water users is 56%.
    • The next USBR TWSA forecast is August 6, 2026.
    • Storage control started May 21, 2026.

Northwest River Forecast Center data and information updates:

  • 10 Day Meteorological Forecasts –  Minimal to no precipitation is forecasted to occur in the next 10 days (minimal on the Olympic peninsula). Temperatures expected to continue to be over 90 F east of the Cascades. 
  • Forecast report and Forecast map –  For July through September streamflow predictions, most streamflows continue to be forecasted at below 75% of normal, with the exception of the Columbia River (due to eastern British Columbia having near normal snowpack this winter). Examples of low flows include the Colville at 31%, Little Spokane at 55%, Okanogan at Oroville at 17%, Wynoochee at 45%, Skokomish at 34%, Nooksack at 46%, Cowlitz at 50%, Yakima at 50%, and Teenaway at 44% of normal. Last updated July 27.
  • NOTE: April – September forecasts are based on the next 10 days of forecast data, then based on climate Normals from the 1991-2020 average.
  • NOTE: The low (of the high, adopted, low) forecasts may be more useful this spring in snow-dominant or mixed basins. 
  • 8-14 day Outlook: Increased probablity of above normal temperatures statewide, with slight probablity of below normal precipitation statewide.
    • Valid: July 14 - 20, 2026, Issued: June 15, 2026
  • August Monthly Forecast: Increased probablity of above normal temperatures statewide, with slightly higher probability of below normal precipitation for the westside.
  • Three-month: (August-September-October) - Slight probablity of warmer than normal temperatures statewide, and slightly drier than normal conditions for western Washington for the three-month period.

National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) Drought monitor 

  • National Drought Monitor – Most areas east of the Cascades are in the Moderate Drought designation, while areas in northeast and southeast are in severe drought. Most of central and eastern areas of the state, as well as the interior of the Olympics are designated as Abnormally Dry. This tool forecasts meteorological drought conditions will develop or persist fo the entire state within the next month.

United States Geological Survey (USGS) - WA Water Science Center:

  • National Water Dashboard – A range of streamflow statuses, with additional below normal (Examples: Little Spokane and Lewis rivers) or significantly below normal (Examples: Colville, Little Spokane, Cowlitz, Elwha, Toppenish, Okanogan, Nooksack, and Samish rivers).

Other data tools used and updated:

  • Odds of 2026 Water Year Precipitation Reaching 100%  - As of July 1, 2026, areas of the inner Puget Sound, Olympics, and far southeast are at or below 50%. However, when the precipitation arrives still matters for the April to September water supply and there are multi-year precipitation deficits in these rain dominant basins.
  • Climate Mapper – Last 60 days - Mostly higher than normal temperatures statewide, especially in the Cascades, and more so over the last 30 days. Lower than normal precipitation for most of the state, especially the eastside.