Statewide conditions

As the state's lead agency for water supplies, we pay close attention to multiple data sources and monitor them closely. Rain and other precipitation, groundwater (water held in aquifers), rivers and streams, and mountain snow (snowpack) are all important contributors to water supply that we monitor. 

Tacoma Old Town Dock. Photo by Wayne Hsieh, https://flic.kr/p/2pBqtCX

What is water supply?


What is WSAC? 

A graphic of Earth with a thermometer beside it

The Water Supply Availability Committee (WSAC) is a group of experts from state and federal agencies who evaluate statewide water supply conditions. Ecology chairs this group that provides an important consultative role to Ecology. WSAC advises Ecology on current and forecasted water supply conditions and whether the hydrologic drought threshold has been met or is likely to be met: seventy-five percent of normal water supply within a geographic area (RCW 43.83B.405 and WAC 173-166-050).

If you would like to receive water supply updates after each monthly WSAC meeting, subscribe to the Washington Water Supply Email list. Presentation materials and recording are posted on the Water Supply Availability Committee website.

 

Data round-up: drought conditions summary

Below is a snapshot of the wide variety of data sources that helps Ecology understand evolving drought conditions. We will update this regularly while a drought declaration remains active. 

The Washington State Climate Office - Climate Outlook 

  • Early April Update - For april, there are slightly elevated chances of both above normal temperatures (33% to 40% chance) and below normal precipitation (33% to 40% chance) across much of the state. Should this occur, the conditions would accelerate snowmelt and lead to more rapid onset of drought conditions this summer.

Bureau of Reclamation (BOR)

  • Yakima River system (Keechelus, Kachess, Cle Elum, Bumping, Rimrock) storage is above average at 126.6% of average for this calander date. The reservoirs combined are at 96% of full capacity.
  • Snowpack will continue to be important for storage.
  • The April 9 early total water supply available (TWSA) for the proratable water users is 52%.
    • The next USBR TWSA forecast is May 7.

Northwest River Forecast Center data and information updates:

  • 10 Day Meteorological Forecasts –  No precipitation is forecasted to occur in the next 10 days, with predominately warmer temperatures expected in the earlier and latter parts of the 10-day period.
  • Forecast report and Forecast map –  For April through September streamflow predictions, additional streamflows now have forecasts below 75% of normal, with more below 50% of normal. Examples include the Colville at 27%, Little Spokane at 70%, Okanogan at Oroville at 14%, Wynoochee at 47%, Skokomish at 51%, Nooksack at 47%, Cowlitz at 59%, Yakima at 49%, and Teenaway at 41% of normal. Last updated May 4.
  • NOTE: April – September forecasts are based on the next 10 days of forecast data, then based on climate Normals from the 1991-2020 average.
  • NOTE: The low (of the high, adopted, low) forecasts may be more useful this spring in snow-dominant or mixed basins. 
  • 8-14 day Outlook: Above normal temperatures is likely statewide, while there is some likelihood of below normal precipitation on the westside and the southern half of central Washington.
    • Valid: May 12 -18, 2026, Issued: May 4, 2026
  • May Monthly Forecast: Increasing likelihood of above normal temperatures statewide, with slightly higher probability of below normal precipitation statewide.
  • Three-month: (May-June-July) - Now projected to be higher probablity of warmer than normal and drier than normal statewide for the three-month period.

National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) Drought monitor 

  • National Drought Monitor – Areas in the central and northeast portions of the state continue in the Moderate Drought designation. Most of central and eastern areas of the state, along with the interior of the Olympics, continue to be designated as Abnormally Dry, while the far southeastern area is said to be in Severe Drought.

United States Geological Survey (USGS) - WA Water Science Center:

  • National Water Dashboard – A range of streamflow statuses, with additional below normal (Examples: Little Spokane and Lewis rivers) or significantly below normal (Examples: Colville, Skokomish, Humptulips, Toppenish, Okanogan, Sultan, and Samish rivers).

Other data tools used and updated:

  • Odds of 2026 Water Year Precipitation Reaching 100%  - As of May 1, areas of the inner Puget Sound, Olympics, and far southeast are at or below 50%. However, when the precipitation arrives still matters for the April to September water supply.
  • Climate Mapper – Last 60 days - Mostly higher than normal temperatures statewide, especially in the Cascades.